Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.945175e-03 0.002137 0.002329 0.002536 0.002753 0.002971 0.003209
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.672509e-03 0.001979 0.002297 0.002652 0.003032 0.003428 0.003867
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.291988e-03 0.001673 0.002087 0.002563 0.003090 0.003651 0.004289
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.002804e-03 0.001438 0.001931 0.002519 0.003189 0.003918 0.004764
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.983219e-04 0.001275 0.001841 0.002539 0.003354 0.004259 0.005324
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.217449e-04 0.001123 0.001748 0.002544 0.003497 0.004574 0.005859
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.975545e-04 0.001019 0.001703 0.002599 0.003693 0.004949 0.006465
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.913655e-04 0.000923 0.001655 0.002644 0.003875 0.005307 0.007052
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.965273e-04 0.000825 0.001594 0.002665 0.004024 0.005624 0.007593
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.993134e-04 0.000699 0.001482 0.002609 0.004072 0.005817 0.007988
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.361813e-04 0.000613 0.001415 0.002608 0.004182 0.006083 0.008465
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.977489e-05 0.000543 0.001363 0.002619 0.004304 0.006360 0.008956
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.904955e-05 0.000499 0.001355 0.002703 0.004539 0.006798 0.009665
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.878960e-05 0.000471 0.001374 0.002827 0.004831 0.007313 0.010481
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.065897e-06 0.000367 0.001248 0.002739 0.004841 0.007483 0.010884
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.325195e-07 0.000292 0.001159 0.002696 0.004910 0.007725 0.011377
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000245 0.001116 0.002718 0.005066 0.008078 0.012007
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000200 0.001065 0.002725 0.005199 0.008400 0.012602
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000172 0.001047 0.002782 0.005401 0.008812 0.013308
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000145 0.001025 0.002830 0.005588 0.009205 0.013991
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000117 0.000990 0.002852 0.005738 0.009550 0.014615
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000080 0.000913 0.002795 0.005771 0.009740 0.015044
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000058 0.000869 0.002793 0.005881 0.010030 0.015599